empty
05.05.2025 05:45 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Gold continues to show resilience, climbing above the key psychological level of $3300. Geopolitical tensions stemming from the prolonged Russia–Ukraine conflict and escalating hostilities in the Middle East continue to support interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policy also influences investor sentiment, boosting demand for the precious metal.

While the market initially reacted to a more positive U.S. monthly employment report, that reaction quickly faded amid mounting economic uncertainty. Expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are also contributing to U.S. dollar weakness, further supporting gold prices. Nevertheless, gold bulls are proceeding cautiously ahead of the upcoming two-day FOMC meeting.

From a technical standpoint, gold has shown some stability below the $3200 mark and is performing well above the $3300 threshold. If the price breaks above $3330, it could test the $3350 supply zone. A successful breach of that zone would open the way toward the next resistance at $3370, with the potential to reach the round level of $3400.

On the other hand, if the price falls below the $3230 area, it may find support at the $3200 level. A decisive break below that would make the price vulnerable to an accelerated decline toward the $3170 level, which currently aligns with the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. Further selling pressure could trigger renewed bearish momentum.

This image is no longer relevant

However, as long as oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory, the path of least resistance for gold remains upward. This is further supported by positive signals on the 4-hour chart as well.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $1000 more!
    In August we raffle $1000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Gold Prices Remain Nearly Unchanged

Gold prices were little changed as traders assessed U.S. efforts to end the military conflict in Ukraine while counting down to the Federal Reserve's annual meeting in Jackson Hole. Investors

Jakub Novak 10:57 2025-08-19 UTC+2

What Could Help the Pound Return to Growth

The British pound is losing ground even though money market expectations are rising that the Bank of England will keep interest rates at 4% until the end of the year

Jakub Novak 10:52 2025-08-19 UTC+2

The Market is Frozen at the Top. Will it Break Down?

Expectations of a September Federal Reserve rate cut and strong corporate earnings are the two key drivers keeping the S&P 500 near record highs. Aggregate earnings per share rose 11%

Marek Petkovich 10:18 2025-08-19 UTC+2

Markets Shift Focus to Powell's Speech in Jackson Hole (Possible Resumption of Growth in Bitcoin and Gold Prices)

While geopolitics remains at the center of market attention—namely the upcoming summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday, as well as yesterday's visit

Pati Gani 09:39 2025-08-19 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on August 19? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Tuesday, but all of them are secondary. In the U.S., reports on building permits and housing starts will be released. We believe these reports

Paolo Greco 07:03 2025-08-19 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – August 19: Jerome Powell's Simplest Speech

The GBP/USD currency pair was practically immobilized on Friday and Monday. Volatility was low, and the calendar of macroeconomic and fundamental events remained empty. We assumed that negotiations between

Paolo Greco 04:15 2025-08-19 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – August 19: The Dollar Remains Under Heavy Fire

The EUR/USD currency pair traded in an ultra-calm manner on Monday, just as it did on Friday. Despite global-scale events in Alaska, the market continues to behave extremely quietly, reacting

Paolo Greco 04:15 2025-08-19 UTC+2

Powell Will Define the Fed's Main Goal. Part 2

What choice does Jerome Powell face, and what can influence it? The U.S. Consumer Price Index is rising. The growth is still moderate, but it is already almost

Chin Zhao 01:05 2025-08-19 UTC+2

Powell Will Define the Fed's Main Goal. Part 1

This week is relatively poor in terms of economic reports. However, on Friday, Jerome Powell will deliver his speech in Jackson Hole, and as early as Tuesday morning, the terms

Chin Zhao 01:04 2025-08-19 UTC+2

AUD/USD. Aussie at a Crossroads

Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut the interest rate by 25 basis points and announced further steps in this direction – "if economic conditions allow." A day later

Irina Manzenko 00:53 2025-08-19 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.