empty
29.09.2021 07:10 AM
MIT conducts study to find out which investors more likely to panic and sell stocks

We are used to thinking that our decision is influenced only by facts and some pieces of crucial information. Taking them into account, we are more likely to make the correct decision. Is it really so?

This image is no longer relevant

Researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology have conducted a study on the demographics of people that feverishly sell stocks during a market crash.

As it turns out, investors who are male over the age of 45, married, or consider themselves as having "excellent investment experience" are more likely to freak out and dump their portfolios during a downturn. These are the conclusions of the research published last month. Overall, researchers have analyzed more than 600,000 brokerage accounts.

In the study, the researchers defined a panic sale as a drop of 90% of a household account's equity assets within one month. Notably, 50% or more is related to trades.

"Financial advisors have long advised their clients to stay calm and weather any passing financial storm in their portfolios. Despite this, a percentage of investors tend to freak out and sell off a large portion of their risky assets," Daniel Elkind, Kathryn Kaminski, Andrew Lo, and colleagues wrote.

The latest and previous studies have shown that people are better off keeping a broadly diversified portfolio. Nevertheless, the prospects of wealth and the fear of losing it lead to hectic trading patterns.

"Panic sales are not random events." The researchers said that they could identify clear trends in the data. They found out that specific types of investors, e.g. those with less than $20,000 in their portfolio, are also willing to liquidate more often.

"Subtle patterns in portfolio history, past market movements, and demographic profile can be exploited by deep neural networks to accurately predict if an investor will panic sell in the near future," they pointed out.

Extreme emotional swings of an investor in the stock market have long fascinated behavioral scientists.

At the same time, researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology did not study why exactly investors are panic-selling. Any trader has at least once experienced such feelings as a strong fear and desire to give up and leave the market at critical moments. In any case, it makes sense to study the Diamond Hand strategy and apply it depending on the situation. It is better to come up with a good strategy amid quickly changing trading conditions, namely the tightening of monetary policy and rising energy prices. Some analysts warn that this winter, many sectors may face certain pressure. Some signs of the coming storm can be seen in China.

The researchers assume their work can be used to develop predictive models, which may help identify individuals at risk of panic selling.

Yet, it would be wise to rely on objective data and various types of information. As for psychology, panic occurs when there is a lack of external information. Knowledge of the laws of the market will help calm down at a critical moment and keep assets in the portfolio.

Notably, when the panic has started, it is usually too late to sell. Therefore, if traders miss this moment, it is better to look through your traders and wait for the moment when the panic subsides. At least if you manage your portfolio correctly, some of the assets will always keep the balance. Some of the new ones can be purchased at the peak of the sell-off.

The research shows that the market is not a place for easily panicking people. The ability to control oneself and think soberly in the most stressful situation is the most important skill that determines market leaders.

Egor Danilov,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Egor Danilov
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

US Market News Digest for September 2

S&P 500 and Nasdaq started the week with declines, losing 0.64% and 1.15% respectively. Amid uncertainty ahead of key economic data, traders are closely watching the dynamics of gold

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:11 2025-09-02 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for September 1

US stock indices closed last week in negative territory: S&P 500 -0.64%, Nasdaq -1.15%, and Dow Jones -0.20%. Asian equities are also under pressure due to the sell-off

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:38 2025-09-01 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for August 29

The US stock market continues to gain ground thanks to the upward revision of second-quarter GDP from 3% to 3.3%, which supports investor optimism. The S&P 500 reached a historic

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:48 2025-08-29 UTC+2

Dollar: Calm Before PCE—and Scenarios for "After"

The market has entered a wait-and-see mode. The dollar index is drifting around 98.0 after fluctuations in Treasury yields. On Wednesday, the 10-year yield rose during the day, then fell

Anna Zotova 00:37 2025-08-29 UTC+2

Bitcoin trails Ethereum but doesn't give up: most important yet to come. S&P 500 stays afloat

The first cryptocurrency continues to face challenges, largely due to selling pressure. Nevertheless, BTC is striving to prevent Ethereum from firmly taking the lead. The complex situation with the Federal

Larisa Kolesnikova 11:51 2025-08-28 UTC+2

Bitcoin under pressure: markets react to rising liquidations and new regulatory plans

Bitcoin's recent price drop has coincided with a rise in funding rates and a decline in traders' use of leverage on futures markets. According to Glassnode analysts, the potential

Natalia Andreeva 15:30 2025-08-27 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for August 27

The S&P 500 is approaching a new record amid a stable economy and expectations of Fed rate cuts. Investors are disregarding political tensions, including President Trump's efforts to replace FOMC

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:25 2025-08-27 UTC+2

AT&T's multi-billion dollar deal sparks ripple effect across Wall Street

EchoStar shares soared after AT&T announced the purchase of licenses for $23 billion. The dollar is under pressure amid expectations of a rate cut. AMD shares rose on the back

09:56 2025-08-27 UTC+2

AT&T Spends Billions — and Sets Wall Street Spin-Off

EchoStar Shares Jump After AT&T Says It Will Buy $23 Billion in Licenses Dollar Under Pressure on Rate Cut Speculation AMD Shares Rise on Upbeat Truist Securities Outlook Eli Lilly

Thomas Frank 09:08 2025-08-27 UTC+2

Bitcoin vs. Ethereum: market swings. S&P 500 forecasts growth

Curiously, Ethereum has been extending a rally while Bitcoin has been losing ground in parallel. This has increased market volatility. Now, the second-largest cryptocurrency is in the spotlight for investors

Larisa Kolesnikova 09:46 2025-08-26 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.