empty
 
 
08.01.2026 10:33 AM
USD gains value

The US dollar strengthened slightly after data showed hiring in American companies grew at a moderate pace in December, signaling a slowdown in job growth at the end of 2025. On Wednesday, ADP Research reported that private-sector employment increased by 41,000 in December, following a 28,000 decline in November. Economists had forecast a 50,000 rise.

This image is no longer relevant

Although the numbers fell short of expectations, they nonetheless pointed to a degree of resilience in the labour market. The slowdown in hiring, however, could prompt the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates in the first quarter of this year. Investors are watching closely for upcoming data from the US Labor Department, which will help shape the Fed's policy path. Many market participants believe slower job growth would encourage a more accommodative approach to interest rates.

The ADP report adds to evidence of a gradual cooling in the labour market seen last year. Hiring has been sluggish, and unemployment has risen, weighing on economists' forecasts and dampening households' perceptions of job prospects.

The December gain was driven primarily by education and health services, as well as leisure and hospitality. Payrolls contracted in professional services and manufacturing. Small businesses resumed hiring after several months of cuts.

"Small establishments recovered from November job losses with positive end-of-year hiring, even as large employers pulled back," ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson said.

This image is no longer relevant

Weakness in the labour market is among the Federal Reserve's primary concerns. Policymakers reduced interest rates three times at the end of 2025 and must now balance that easing with still-elevated inflation as they consider further cuts in the new year.

According to a technical outlook for the EUR/USD pair, buyers should consider reclaiming the 1.1700 level. That would open the way to test 1.1720. From there, a move to 1.1740 would be possible, although advancing beyond that without support from major players could be difficult. The extended target is 1.1765. On a decline, look for meaningful buying interest near 1.1665. If no buyers appear there, it would be prudent to wait for a new low at 1.1640 or to open long positions from 1.1616.

As for the GBP/USD pair, buyers should target the nearest resistance at 1.3460. That would allow a move toward 1.3488, above which a breakout would be challenging. The extended target is around 1.3514. If the pair falls, bears will attempt to take control at 1.3435. A break of that range would deal a serious blow to bullish positions and could push GBP/USD down to 1.3414, with scope to extend to 1.3387.

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Pavel Vlasov
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $10000 more!
    In January we raffle $10000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback