empty
01.04.2025 11:37 AM
USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the USD/JPY pair is struggling to benefit from a slight intraday upward movement, especially amid expectations that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates at a faster pace. However, uncertainty surrounding potential retaliatory tariffs from President Trump creates additional risks for the Japanese economy, which could prompt the Bank of Japan to stick to its current policy stance.

Positive sentiment in equity markets and moderate dollar strength are also contributing to the pair hovering near the psychological level of 150.00. According to Tankan index data, Japanese companies have raised their inflation forecasts for the next one, three, and five years. Along with strong consumer inflation figures from Tokyo, this reinforces the case for further rate hikes by the Bank of Japan—creating a divergence with the Federal Reserve's expected path of rate cuts. As a result, the narrowing rate differential between Japan and the U.S. supports the yen, capping USD/JPY's upside potential.

From a technical standpoint, a break below the lower boundary of the multi-week ascending trend channel could indeed be seen as a bearish signal.

However, the current neutral positioning of oscillators on the daily chart suggests caution before opening short positions. A drop below 149.55 would find support near the round level of 149.00. The next support level may stop USD/JPY around 148.70. Further selling would resume the negative bias that has been developing over the past three months.

On the other hand, a breakout above 150.25 would open the path to higher levels such as 150.80 and even 151.00. Sustained strength beyond this zone would shift the bias in favor of the bulls, potentially pushing the pair toward the next round level of 152.00 and beyond.

To identify new trading opportunities today, attention should be paid to the release of key U.S. economic data, such as the JOLTS job openings report and the ISM Manufacturing PMI.

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Dolar AS: Pratonton Mingguan

Adakah terdapat sinar di hujung terowong itu? Dolar AS sekali lagi akan cuba menjawab soalan tersebut pada minggu baru ini. Untuk meringkaskan: dalam dua bulan yang lepas, memang banyak berita

Chin Zhao 01:01 2025-04-21 UTC+2

Pasaran Dijadikan Tahanan

Adakah Rumah Putih akan melangkah jauh dengan memecat Jerome Powell dari jawatannya sebagai Pengerusi Federal Reserve? Tindakan tersebut akan memberi impak lagi kepada pasaran kewangan, tetapi buat masa ini, S&P

Marek Petkovich 09:16 2025-04-18 UTC+2

Mengapa Pasaran Membeku dan Apa yang Dinantikan? (Terdapat kemungkinan Bitcoin dan Ethereum terus bergerak mendatar dalam julat pengukuhan)

Hari ini adalah Good Friday, hari yang diperingati oleh penganut Kristian di seluruh dunia merentasi semua denominasi. Aktiviti pasaran telah berkurangan dengan ketara menjelang cuti Easter, namun ini bukanlah sebab

Pati Gani 09:00 2025-04-18 UTC+2

Perkara Yang Perlu Diperhatikan pada 18 April? Satu Ulasan Mengenai Peristiwa Fundamental untuk Pedagang Baharu

Tidak ada peristiwa makroekonomi yang dijadualkan pada hari Jumaat—baik di AS, Zon Euro, Jerman, atau UK. Oleh itu, walaupun pasaran memberi perhatian kepada latar belakang makroekonomi, ia sememangnya tidak wujud

Paolo Greco 06:51 2025-04-18 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan GBP/USD – 18 April. Ucapan Powell: Tiada Apa-apa yang Positif untuk Dolar

Pasangan mata wang GBP/USD terus berdagang secara relatif tenang pada hari Khamis, menunjukkan sedikit sahaja kecenderungan menurun. Kami masih tidak boleh mengklasifikasikan pergerakan semasa sebagai "penurunan semula" atau "pembetulan". Carta

Paolo Greco 03:48 2025-04-18 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan EUR/USD – 18 April: Pemotongan Kadar oleh ECB Seperti Dijangka, dan Pasaran Juga Mengabaikannya Seperti Dijangka

Pasangan mata wang EUR/USD menghabiskan sebahagian besar hari dalam pergerakan mendatar. Apabila keputusan mesyuarat Bank Pusat Eropah diumumkan, pasaran hanya menunjukkan sedikit reaksi emosional, namun tiada perubahan asas yang berlaku

Paolo Greco 03:48 2025-04-18 UTC+2

Dolar Merosakkan Segalanya dengan Sendirinya

Niatnya baik, tetapi hasilnya tetap seperti biasa. Donald Trump percaya sepenuhnya bahawa tarif boleh menggantikan cukai pendapatan, menjana hasil besar untuk belanjawan negara, dan mencetuskan era kegemilangan baharu. Namun, walaupun

Marek Petkovich 03:39 2025-04-18 UTC+2

XAU/USD: Analisis dan Ramalan

Emas sedang mengalami penurunan pembetulan hari ini apabila peniaga mengambil keuntungan setelah ia naik baru-baru ini ke paras tertinggi sepanjang masa. Penurunan ini, walaupun sederhana, dipacu oleh beberapa faktor, termasuk

Irina Yanina 12:00 2025-04-17 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Analisis dan Ramalan

berkenaan dengan perubahan mendatang dalam dasar monetari daripada Bank Pusat Eropah (ECB) dan Rizab Persekutuan A.S. (Fed). Penantian terhadap penurunan kadar sebanyak 25 mata asas oleh ECB—penurunan keenam berturut-turut

Irina Yanina 11:55 2025-04-17 UTC+2

Adakah Euro Bersedia untuk Pemotongan Kadar Seterusnya?

Kita akan mengetahui dengan segera sama ada euro sekali lagi bersedia untuk Bank Pusat Eropah (ECB) meneruskan pelonggaran dasar monetari. Hari ini, ECB dijangka menurunkan kadar faedah buat kali ketujuh

Jakub Novak 11:38 2025-04-17 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.