empty
28.03.2025 11:39 AM
Markets at a Crossroads Ahead of Tariff Announcement by D. Trump (Possible Decline in CFD Contracts on #SPX and #NDX Futures)

Markets are now fully convinced that the U.S. President will follow through on his plans to implement severe customs tariffs aimed at closing the domestic market and, in doing so, stimulating domestic manufacturers.

Understanding this, investors have essentially paused trading, waiting to see what happens on April 2.

When observing the behavior of stock, commodity, debt, and currency markets — along with the crypto market — it becomes clear that activity is waning. Watching Trump and his dynamic personality, anything can be expected on April 2. In the past, he has made dramatic promises only to just as easily backtrack on them.

So, what might happen on Wednesday, April 2?

Two scenarios are likely on the table, based on the personality of the 47th U.S. President.

Scenario one: He theatrically announces the restrictive measures previously outlined. In this case, a localized wave of negativity can be expected, triggering broad market selloffs. The extent of the downturn will depend on Trump's commentary — how long the measures will last, what accompanying conditions they will carry, and so on.

Scenario two: A softer approach, where only partial measures are enacted — for instance, not all promised tariffs are implemented, or some are delayed for certain countries. This scenario would allow loopholes for imports to enter the U.S. The markets may react positively to such news, as the worst-case scenario is already largely priced in.

This is the dilemma investors currently face. Because of the uncertainty factor, market activity has stalled — no one wants to take risks and most prefer to adopt a wait-and-see approach.

What can we expect from the markets today?

Most likely, no significant movements are expected across market segments. Consolidation ahead of April 2 is the most probable scenario. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index will likely hover just above the 104.00 mark. Equities could trade sideways, gradually moving toward the lower ends of their ranges. Gold is expected to find support amid uncertainty and global geopolitical tensions. Crude oil prices will likely remain under pressure, correcting lower from their recent local highs.

Daily Forecasts:

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

#SPX The CFD contract on the S&P 500 futures is resting on the short-term uptrend support line. A breakout below the 5675.00 level and a sustained move lower could lead to a decline toward 5594.30. The 5664.50 level may serve as an entry point.

#NDX The CFD contract on NASDAQ 100 futures is also positioned at the short-term uptrend support line. A breakout below the 19652.40 level and a consolidation under it may lead to a drop toward 19154.20. The 19621.50 level may serve as an entry point.

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Data Pasaran Buruh AS Berpotensi Mengecewakan Secara Ketara

Pertumbuhan pekerjaan di Amerika Syarikat dijangka perlahan pada bulan April, walaupun kadar pengangguran dijangka kekal tidak berubah, sekali gus mencerminkan permintaan tenaga kerja yang sihat tetapi sederhana. Namun begitu, dasar

Jakub Novak 10:08 2025-05-02 UTC+2

ECB Tiada Pilihan Lain

Mata wang Eropah terus mengalami penyusutan berbanding dolar AS apabila para pedagang semakin bertaruh pada keputusan dasar monetari Bank Pusat Eropah yang akan datang. Menurut data, peluang untuk pemotongan kadar

Jakub Novak 10:03 2025-05-02 UTC+2

China Akhirnya Memberi Tindak Balas

Euro, pound, dan aset berisiko lain menunjukkan kenaikan berikutan kenyataan dari pihak berkuasa China bahawa mereka sedang menilai kemungkinan rundingan perdagangan dengan Amerika Syarikat—menandakan tanda kemajuan sebenar antara kedua-dua pihak

Jakub Novak 09:57 2025-05-02 UTC+2

Proses Telah Dimulakan. China Bersedia untuk Rundingan Perdagangan (Ada Kemungkinan Penurunan Semula dalam Harga Emas dan EUR/USD)

Perdagangan pada hari terakhir minggu ini sedang berkembang secara positif. Berita bahawa China bersedia untuk memulakan rundingan telah memberi inspirasi kepada para pelabur untuk membeli aset berisiko dan melemahkan dolar

Pati Gani 09:43 2025-05-02 UTC+2

Pasaran Memasuki Perairan Bergelora

Pasaran yakin bahawa tarif tidak akan berlaku atau syarikat-syarikat boleh memindahkan kos tersebut kepada pelanggan. Kenaikan lapan hari S&P 500—yang terpanjang sejak Ogos—menunjukkan perkara ini dengan jelas. Begitu juga dengan

Marek Petkovich 09:24 2025-05-02 UTC+2

Apakah yang Perlu Diperhatikan pada 2 Mei? Analisis Acara Asas kepada Pedagang Baharu

Analisis Laporan Makroekonomi: Hanya beberapa acara makroekonomi yang dijadualkan pada hari Jumaat, tetapi ada yang agak penting. Secara semulajadi, tumpuan utama ialah terhadap senarai gaji bukan ladang dan kadar pengangguran

Paolo Greco 07:06 2025-05-02 UTC+2

Tinjauan GBP/USD – 2 Mei: Dolar A.S. Tidak Meningkat Lama

Pada hari Khamis, pasangan mata wang GBP/USD terus mengalami penurunan. Dolar telah mengukuh selama tiga hari berturut-turut—walaupun tiada sebab objektif. Data makroekonomi AS secara konsisten lemah; tiada pengeluaran data dari

Paolo Greco 03:50 2025-05-02 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan EUR/USD – 2 Mei: Dolar Berdepan Kejatuhan Baharu – Dan Ia Bukan yang Terakhir

Pada hari Khamis, pasangan mata wang EUR/USD sekali lagi didagangkan dengan relatif tenang, namun dolar AS kali ini gagal menunjukkan sebarang pertumbuhan yang bermakna. Sedikit berita baik yang akan membawa

Paolo Greco 03:47 2025-05-02 UTC+2

USD/JPY: Satu Tempoh Sukar untuk Yen

Pada mesyuarat terbaru, Bank of Japan mengekalkan semua tetapan dasar utama tidak berubah, secara efektif melaksanakan senario asas yang paling dijangkakan—walaupun terdapat kenyataan yang bertentangan sebelum ini dari pegawai bank

Irina Manzenko 01:19 2025-05-02 UTC+2

Dolar Menuntut Sesuatu yang Mustahil

Pasaran akhirnya menemui kelegaan selepas Hari Pembebasan Amerika. Indeks saham kini bersedia untuk menebus semula kerugian yang dialami susulan pelaksanaan tarif besar-besaran oleh Rumah Putih, di tengah-tengah jangkaan keputusan pendapatan

Marek Petkovich 01:02 2025-05-02 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.