Technical Market Overview:

As anticipated yesterday, the EUR/USD broke through the technical support located at the level of 1.1076 and made a new local low at the level of 1.1040 after the Pin Bar candlestick pattern occurred. The momentum remains weak and negative, so the last move up was just a bounce or a local counter-trend correction. To reverse the downtrend, the bulls would have to break through the level of 1.1174, otherwise, the next target for bears is seen at the level of 1.1065 and 1.1040.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.1216

WR2 - 1.1193

WR1 - 1.1130

Weekly Pivot - 1.1046

WS1 - 1.1042

WS2 - 1.1019

WS3 - 1.0955

Trading recommendations:

Not much has changed since the last week in a bigger perspective. Still, the best strategy for current market conditions is to trade with the larger timeframe trend, which is down. All upward moves will be treated as local corrections in the downtrend. The downtrend is valid as long as it is terminated or the level of 1.1445 clearly violated. There is an Ending Diagonal price pattern visible on the larget timeframes that indicate a possible downtrend termination soon. The key short-term levels are technical support at the level of 1.1040 and the technical resistance at the level of 1.1267.