empty
 
 
20.03.2019 07:06 AM
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/JPY for March 20, 2019

EUR managed to sustain bullish momentum since the break above 125.00-50 resistance area with a daily close. The price volatility resulted in certain corrections and indecision between the range of 126.00-50. The price recently broke above with an indication of further bullish pressure.

The eurozone is struggling with the economic slowdown ahead of BREXIT. Nevertheless, EUR manages to sustain bullish momentum over JPY. According to European Commission's Vice President Valdis, there is grwoing likelihood that the UK will leave the EU without a deal as developments in the UK parliament showcase broadbased disagreement with Prime Minister Theresa May's Brexit Deal. Additionally, recently the Bank of France downgraded outlook on economic growth to about 1.4% this year from 1.7% expansion in the previous forecast.

Italian Trade Balance report was published with a decrease to 0.32B from the previous figure of 2.76B which was expected to increase to 3.45B and German ZEW Sentiment rose to -3.6 from the previous figure of -13.4 which was expected to be at -11.0. Today German PPI report is going to be published which is expected to decrease to 0.2% from the previous value of 0.4%.

On the other hand, today Japan's Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes were posted where Bank of Japan's policymakers disagreed on the pace of central bank's monetary stimulus program as escalating external risk is affecting Japan's economic recovery. Recently the BOJ kept the key policy rate unchanged at -0.1% and 10-year bond yields below zero under a policy dubbed yield curve control. Ahead of National Core CPI report which is expected to be unchanged at 0.8% and Flash Manufacturing PMI expected to increase to 49.2 from the previous figure of 48.9, JPY is expected to be quite indecisive and weak.

Meanwhile, the market is showing mixed optimism on EUR despite an ecomomic slowdown ahead of the BREXIT event on March 29th. EUR is expected to keep momentum over JPY in the coming days. As the BOJ is going through disagreement and Japan's economy is facing external pressure, this is certainly bearish for the Japanese currency.

Now let us look at the technical view. The price recently broke above 126.50 area with a daily close while being carried by the dynamic level of 20 EMA, Tenkan, and Kijun line. As the price broke above the volatile price range, currently a retracement towards 126.50 area is expected before the price extends its climb with a target towards 127.50 area in the coming days. As the price remains above 125.00-50 support area, the bullish bias is expected to continue.

This image is no longer relevant

InstaForex Analyst,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposite US $ 3.000 em sua conta e receba $9000 mais!
    Em Maio nós sorteamos $9000 na campanha Chancy Deposit!
    Tenha a chance de ganhar, depositando $3,000 em sua conta de negociação. Após cumprir essa condição, você se torna um participante da campanha.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Abasteça a sua conta com pelo menos $500, inscreva-se no concurso e tenha a chance de ganhar dispositivos móveis.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Bônus de 100%
    Sua oportunidade única de receber um bônus de 100% em seu depósito
    RECEBA O BÔNUS
  • Bônus de 55%
    Solicite um bônus de 55% em cada depósito
    RECEBA O BÔNUS
  • Bônus de 30%
    Receba um bônus de 30% toda vez que você fizer um depósito em sua conta
    RECEBA O BÔNUS

Recommended Stories

Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback