empty
 
 
13.11.2019 11:09 AM
GBP/USD: the pound is still awake, but may collapse sharply

This image is no longer relevant

The GBP/USD pair continued to retreat from the level of 1.2900 and came under pressure on Tuesday. However, it managed to gain a foothold under the 100-day moving average and attract buyers in the area of 1.2820, where the resistance line of the weekly trend passes.

This mark coincides with the 61.8% correction of the "bullish" move at 1.2769-1.2899 and should play a key role in determining the direction of the pair.

The bulls need a breakdown of 1.2900 to move the quotes to 1.30. A fall below the mentioned resistance line will target the pair at 1.2800, 1.2770, and 1.2715.

The pound rose by more than 1% last month after the appointment of early elections by British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who believes that the Conservative Party will win a majority of seats in parliament.

Although the chances of a Tory victory increased after the statements of the leader of the Brexit party Nigel Farage to avoid competition with the conservatives in the upcoming elections, investors remain cautious in the options market and continue to expect the pound to become weak.

"Apparently, the market is not yet sufficiently sure that conservatives will achieve a significant majority next month," Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce currency strategists said.

"Despite the conservative leadership in opinion polls, the magnitude of the overflow of voters in the last two elections, associated with the prospect of tactical voting, means that the outcome of the upcoming elections is very difficult to predict at the moment with any degree of confidence," they added.

According to experts, the pound has acted as a risk barometer in the three-year Brexit process, and the result of the December 12 election will determine the path for Albion's exit from the European Union.

Market participants are still wary of the vote, which may not bring a clear majority of the Tories or end with the formation of a coalition led by the opposition Labor Party. These two scenarios could turn out for the UK to further negotiations with the EU on Brexit or a new referendum.

Recent data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that investors continue to have short positions in the pound, although they have slightly reduced them. This could make the British currency more vulnerable to a sharp recession if investor sentiment becomes more negative.

Viktor Isakov,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
© 2007-2024
كسب عائد من تغيرات أسعار العملات المشفرة مع إنستافوركس.
قم بتحميل منصة التداول ميتاتريدر 4 وافتح أول صفقة.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • إيداع الحظ
    قم بإيداع 3,000 دولار في حسابك واحصل على $8,000 وأكثر من ذالك!
    في مايو نحن نقدم باليانصيب $8,000 ضمن حملة إيداع الحظ!
    احصل على فرصة للفوز من خلال إيداع 3,000 دولار في حساب تداول. بعد أن استوفيت هذا الشرط، تصبح مشاركًا في الحملة.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • تداول بحكمة، اربح جهازا
    قم بتعبئة حسابك بمبلغ لا يقل عن 500 دولار ، واشترك في المسابقة ، واحصل على فرصة للفوز بأجهزة الجوال.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • بونص 100٪
    فرصتك الفريدة للحصول على بونص 100٪ على إيداعك
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 55٪
    تقدم بطلب للحصول على بونص 55٪ على كل إيداع
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 30٪
    احصل على بونص 30٪ في كل مرة تقوم فيها بتعبئة حسابك
    احصل على بونص

المقالات الموصى بها

لا تستطيع التحدث الآن؟
اطرح سؤالك في الدردشة.
Widget callback