empty
 
 
12.11.2020 09:33 AM
Hot forecast for EUR/USD on 11/12/2020

At first, the pound showed good growth, but in the end it stayed in the same positions from which it began yesterday. Apparently, this behavior is due to rumors about the results of the US presidential elections. Several American media outlets have reported that Donald Trump may abandon further attempts to challenge the presidential election. Although he does not acknowledge them as honest. The most important thing here is that it tells us about the end of a prolonged process, which therefore reduces uncertainty. This provides confidence to the markets.

This image is no longer relevant

Consequently, the market will begin to closely follow today's macroeconomic reports, which are in abundance. In particular, the UK is publishing preliminary data on GDP for the third quarter. It should show a slowdown in the rate of economic decline from -21.5% to -9.7%. This is, of course, an incredibly positive factor. In addition, the rate of decline in industrial production may decrease from -6.4% to -6.2%. And even though we are still talking about serious economic losses, the trend is positive. Of course, if the forecasts are confirmed.

GDP growth rate (UK):

This image is no longer relevant

However, the pound may start to seriously depreciate during the US session since US inflation will be released. It is expected to grow from 1.4% to 1.5%. The rise in inflation is perceived as an extremely positive factor, and much more significant than GDP or industrial production. In addition, inflation has already been rising for four consecutive months. Its confident growth towards the Federal Reserve's target level removes the risk that the central bank may introduce additional stimulus measures. Rather, its growth suggests that the Fed will soon think about cutting these very stimulus measures. So the dollar has good growth potential.

Inflation (United States):

This image is no longer relevant

After it rapidly moved up, the GBPUSD pair found a resistance point at the 1.3300 level, where a stop emerged, followed by a corrective move. We can clearly see that the pound is overbought, which can subsequently lead to significant sales.

If we proceed from the quote's current position, we can see that the variable pivot point in the correctional course is the value of 1.3190, relative to which a small pullback occurred.

As for volatility, speculators returned to the market after a short stagnation, which led to an acceleration.

Considering the trading chart in general terms, the daily period, one can see that an upward trend has been prevailing in the market for as long as seven weeks, which has restored the pound's rate by about 600 points.

We can assume that it will initially be bumpy within the values of 1.3190/1.3240. Afterwards, another round of downward positions is possible when the US session opens, which will lead to a breakdown of the previous day's local low and the price would move towards the values of 1.3140-1.3100.

From the point of view of complex indicator analysis, we see that the indicators of technical instruments smoothly change the signal from buy to sell, which plays in favor of the corrective move.

This image is no longer relevant

Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $9000 más!
    ¡En Mayo, sorteamos $9000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback