Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY

The test of 149.70, coinciding with the rise of the MACD line from zero, prompted a buy signal that resulted in a price increase of around 40 pips.

Traders clearly took advantage of the correction to quickly trigger a reversal, not to mention Japan released data showing a decrease in household spending and a slight increase in wage levels, which weakened yen's position against dollar. The reduction in spending allows inflation to remain at the same level, allowing the central bank to maintain its policy without changes. Whether the regulator will intervene in the current exchange rate remains uncertain, and the level of 150 no longer exerts significant pressure on traders.

For long positions:

Buy when the price hits 150.53 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 150.98. Growth will occur in continuation of the recent bullish scenario. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it.

Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 150.25, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 150.53 and 150.98.

For short positions:

Sell when the price reaches 150.25 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 149.72. Pressure will return in the event of a central bank intervention. However, when selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.

Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 150.53, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 150.25 and 149.72.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.