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13.04.2026 10:06 AM
Weekly Forecast Based on Simplified Wave Analysis for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, NZD/USD, and Gold on April 13th

EUR/USD

Analysis:

On the 4-hour chart of the major European currency pair, an upward trend has been developing since the end of January this year. In recent weeks, a corrective part (B) has been forming within the wave structure. At present, quotes have reached the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone on the daily timeframe.

Forecast:

In the coming week, price movements are expected to shift mainly into a sideways range. In the first half, a rise toward the calculated reversal zone is more likely. A reversal and change in direction can be expected closer to the weekend.

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Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 1.1770 / 1.1820

Support:

  • 1.1600 / 1.1550

Recommendations:

  • Buy: Quite risky. Trades are possible intraday with reduced position size.
  • Sell: No conditions for such trades until confirmed reversal signals appear near resistance.

USD/JPY

Analysis:

The trend direction of the main Japanese yen pair has been defined by an upward wave since late January. Two weeks ago, the price reached the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone and is forming a corrective pullback. The unfinished correction from March 30 is currently shaping short-term sideways movement.

Forecast:

At the beginning of the week, price is expected to move along a strong higher-timeframe reversal zone, where resistance lies. Closer to the weekend, a change in direction is possible, creating conditions for a downward move toward the calculated support zone.

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Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 159.90 / 160.40

Support:

  • 157.80 / 157.30

Recommendations:

  • Sell: Premature until reversal signals appear near resistance.
  • Buy: Limited potential and risky.

GBP/JPY

Analysis:

Over the past year, the movement of this cross has been driven by a bullish trend. The current wave segment has been developing since February 12. The final part (C) of the structure is forming but is not yet complete.

Forecast:

The pair is expected to continue upward movement within the defined price channel. A pullback toward support is possible early in the week. Later, conditions may form for renewed upward movement.

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Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 215.50 / 216.00

Support:

  • 213.60 / 213.10

Recommendations:

  • Sell: Not advisable until the current wave is fully completed.
  • Buy: Possible with reduced position size during individual sessions. Upside is limited by resistance.

USD/CAD

Analysis:

Short-term prospects are guided by an unfinished bullish wave that started on January 30. Two weeks ago, the price began forming a correction from the lower boundary of a strong reversal zone. This correction is still incomplete.

Forecast:

At the start of the week, price is expected to move along the support boundaries, possibly briefly breaking below them. Afterward, a reversal and upward movement are likely. Increased volatility is more probable toward the weekend.

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Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 1.3920 / 1.3970

Support:

  • 1.3790 / 1.3740

Recommendations:

  • Sell: Quite risky; safer with reduced position size during individual sessions.
  • Buy: Premature until confirmed reversal signals appear near support.

NZD/USD

Analysis:

Short-term fluctuations have been driven by a downward wave since late January. This wave structure is not yet complete. Over the past three weeks, price has been forming an extended sideways correction. Once it ends, the short-term downtrend is expected to resume.

Forecast:

In the coming days, continued price growth is most likely. Near the resistance zone, sideways movement may form, creating conditions for a directional shift. A decline is expected closer to the weekend.

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Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 0.5880 / 0.5930

Support:

  • 0.5750 / 0.5700

Recommendations:

  • Buy: Possible with reduced position size during individual sessions.
  • Sell: Premature until confirmed signals appear near support.

Gold

Analysis:

The downward wave that started in January defined the boundaries of a strong weekly reversal zone. Over the past six weeks, price has been forming a shifting corrective range. Gold quotes are approaching the lower boundary of this reversal zone.

Forecast:

In the next couple of days, a general downward bias is expected, possibly pressuring support. After that, a reversal and renewed growth toward resistance levels may occur.

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Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 4840.0 / 4890.0

Support:

  • 4680.0 / 4660.0

Recommendations:

  • Sell: Risky; trades allowed with reduced size during individual sessions.
  • Buy: Relevant only after confirmed reversal signals appear near support.

Notes: In simplified wave analysis (SWA), all waves consist of three parts (A–B–C). On each timeframe, the latest unfinished wave is analyzed. Dashed lines indicate expected movements.

Attention: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of price movements over time!

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Vyacheslav Ognev
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