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21.06.2024 05:11 AM
2024年6月21日英鎊/美元匯率預測

GBP/USD

昨天,英格蘭銀行維持利率不變,投票結果為7-2(與5月相同)。如市場參與者所預期的,暗示了8月可能會有減息。我們原本預期會有更偏向鴿派的結果,至少會有6-3的投票結果支持維持利率,因此價格尚未達到MACD線(1.2633)。

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今日在英國,經濟學家的預測顯示了好消息:5月份的零售銷售預計將增加1.6%,而同一時期的公共部門淨借款預計將從196億英鎊減少到146億英鎊。最快在週一,英鎊可能會穩定在MACD線1.26330以下,之後就會更容易發展下行趨勢。

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在四小時圖上,價格已經穩定在平衡線和MACD指標線之下,但同時與Marlin振盪器形成匯聚。今天,英鎊可能會在鞏固中度過,以便進一步達到目標水平1.2596。因此,價格可能會繼續下跌至1.2517水平。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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