empty
10.10.2022 02:27 PM
Eurobank: market risks do not take into account inflation growth

Klass Knot, a member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank, issued a statement today that markets still seem to be underestimating the risk that inflation could be higher than models predict. This loud statement could further contribute to the fall of the eurozone.

Eurobank: market risks do not take into account inflation growth

In particular, the President of De Nederlandsche Bank drew attention to the fact that the likelihood that in 2024 inflation could exceed the value of 2.3%, which everyone including the ECB is guided by, is quite high. However, it is obvious that the risk of such a scenario is not included in the market assessments yet.

Previously, the ECB has repeatedly stated that the risks of rising inflation in the future are growing. However, now the rhetoric of the European regulator feels vague and seems to depend on the current situation more than on any clear plan. And Klaas Knot decided to openly warn investors that large increases are ahead, which is tantamount to no loans at low rates.

Klaas Knot also noted that in the coming years, government support for households in response to rising energy prices could fuel inflation. In his conviction, the head of the Central Bank of the Netherlands is based on the fact that if support, such as that provided in Germany and the Netherlands, becomes the standard, then inflation and interest rates will rise further.

As such, Germany came under fire from other EU countries last week for introducing a package of measures to protect consumers from rising energy prices in 2023 and 2024, worth around 200 billion euros (194 billion dollars). Although, it is worth noting that against the background of the escalation of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia, such actions by the German government seem quite reasonable.

The Netherlands' plan to spend around 23 billion euros on capping energy prices next year is about the same amount per household.

Actually, it is unlikely that anyone will be surprised even by a significant increase in rates by the ECB at a meeting scheduled for the end of October. The question is how much it will help keep the economy afloat. Obviously, this will not be the last "belt-tightening" event.

Markets today are also concerned about rising wages in the euro area, which is essentially an expected response from manufacturers to current economic conditions and pressure from employees, but also threatens further inflation.

Egor Danilov,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

市場如同坐過山車:道瓊指數暴跌,黃金上漲,特朗普使投資者緊張不安

美國股市指數週一收盤下跌,結束了一個充滿劇烈波動的交易時段。投資者焦急地關注經濟放緩和通脹風險上升的跡象,這些問題因白宮的激進貿易言論而加劇。

12:25 2025-04-08 UTC+2

4月8日美國市場新聞摘要

特朗普政府最新一輪的關稅正在重塑經濟預期。高盛現預測未來12個月內將出現經濟衰退,而摩根大通的分析師則預測美國GDP增長將減少0.3%。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:14 2025-04-08 UTC+2

市場動盪:道瓊大跌、黃金飆升、特朗普增添緊張

美國股市指數週一收盤下跌,這一天的交易充滿了劇烈波動。投資者對經濟放緩和通脹風險上升的跡象感到擔憂,而白宮激進的貿易言論加劇了這種擔憂。

Thomas Frank 08:39 2025-04-08 UTC+2

貿易戰:S&P 500 暴跌 3%,日經指數暴跌 6%,投資者面對最壞情況做好準備

關鍵的美國股指期貨大幅下跌。S&P 500 E-mini合約下跌218點,跌幅達到4.27%,指數降至4892.25點。

Thomas Frank 11:59 2025-04-07 UTC+2

美國市場新聞摘要 - 4月7日

在4月7日,S&P 500指數的期貨接近關鍵支撐位4,953。如果能維持在該區域上方,可能會為目標5,100和5,274的反彈鋪平道路。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:42 2025-04-07 UTC+2

美國對決全世界:川普關稅引發市場從華爾街到歐洲崩跌

美國股市在週四暴跌,創下多年間最痛苦的單日損失,唐納德·特朗普出乎意料的激進關稅舉措引發了全球市場的恐慌。 不久前,華爾街正在一波反彈中享受高峰,市場在白宮承諾支持商業活動的背景下達到歷史高位。

Thomas Frank 12:09 2025-04-04 UTC+2

4月4日美國市場新聞摘要

在唐納·川普宣布新的進口關稅後,市場暴跌,引發了美國股票的廣泛拋售。道瓊斯、NASDAQ和S&P 500都出現了顯著的損失。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 10:55 2025-04-04 UTC+2

3月12日美國市場新聞摘要

期貨因新關稅暴跌:Nike 和 Boeing 受創最重。恐慌指數上升 美國股市在四月開盤時大幅下跌。

Irina Maksimova 13:24 2025-04-03 UTC+2

特朗普對進口商品加徵10%關稅,市場陷入緊張,黃金和歐元飆升

經過動盪的交易環境後,儘管開盤動盪,但美國股市最終上漲,華爾街劇烈反彈。大部分的動能來自於最後幾小時的交易,而投資者急於在特朗普總統重大經濟宣布之前部署。

Thomas Frank 10:55 2025-04-03 UTC+2

100億美元:錯誤的代價。強生再次成為焦點

資產負債表的指標處於動盪狀態。航空類股下跌。

14:26 2025-04-02 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.