empty
 
 
22.10.2018 04:12 PM
The decline in the forecast growth of the world economy. What is the danger of the upcoming 2019?

This image is no longer relevant

Prospects for global growth in 2019 for the first time in a long time do not look the best. Experts believe that the trade conflict between the US and China, as well as the tightening of financial conditions, may cause a decline.

In early 2018, optimism about the steady growth of the global economy was almost unanimous. However, a survey of more than 500 economists this month showed a decrease in forecasts for 18 of 44 economies, 23 remained unchanged and 3 were slightly increased. While the risks associated with protectionism, in 32 of the 44 economies have already reached a maximum.

"There is a simple dynamic in the global economy. The US is flourishing, while most of the rest of the world is slowing down or even stagnating. The effort caused by this discrepancy has a negative effect on many emerging markets," said Janet Henry, chief economist at HSBC.

"Firstly, there will be no winners in the world trade war. Even if the cumulative losses are modest, and some advantages go to a more open economy, all parties will ultimately feel worse than the current status quo," said Neil Shearing, chief economist at Capital Economics.

Most economists covering the US economy said that the US economic policy toward China over the next few years will become more confrontational. At the same time, a faster than expected increase in US interest rates indicates a significant slowdown in the US economy by the end of next year.

The global growth forecast for 2019 is 3.6 percent, the first decline since July 2017. It is also lower than the IMF expectations, 3.7 percent.

This image is no longer relevant

Irina Maksimova,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $9000 more!
    In May we raffle $9000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

推荐文章

现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback