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29.09.201605:53:00UTC+00高盛预计OPEC协议可将油价推高7-10美元

高盛集团公司称OPEC的减产协议可能将油价推高10美元/桶,但和其他银行一样,高盛并没有给出解释。协议计划将每天的产量减少至3250万桶到3300万桶。

石油输出国组织生产全世界超过40%的原油,因此合作减产可能对全球供需平衡造成冲击。据高盛称下个月市场不确定性依然存在,尽管在十一月份的正式会议上会批准限产协议,但依然供大于求。花旗集团称油价上涨也可能推动美国页岩油生产反弹并占据市场份额,而OPEC要为此买单。

高盛和花旗保持其价格预期不变。花旗集团预测油价在2016年年底前都将在40到50美元/桶的区间内交易,而布伦特原油的均价在明年将涨到60美元。高盛预测油价在今年年底前为43美元/桶,而明年涨到53美元/桶。

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